Why Bagram Airfield Is at the Heart of a New US-Afghan Power Struggle

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If you believed that the saga of Bagram Airfield ended with the United States’ exit from Afghanistan, think again. The vast base just north of Kabul—once the command center of American military power in the region—is back in the news, and the intrigue is as hot as ever.

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Trump’s Drive to Regain Bagram: What’s Behind the Effort

President Donald Trump made it official: he wants Bagram Airfield restored. At a joint press conference with British Prime Minister Keir Starmer, Trump said that the administration is actively seeking to take back the base from the Taliban. Trump explained, “We’re trying to get it back, because they need things from us. We want that base back.” This is the first public admission that negotiations—or at least serious talks—may be taking place.

But why is he doing it now? Trump has been a vocal critic of the 2021 US withdrawal, calling it a”total disaster” and mourning the loss of strategic assets such as Bagram. The base’s huge runway and heavily fortified infrastructure were the portal for generations of US troops and the emblem of American power in the region.

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Strategic Motivations: China, Counterterrorism, and Mineral Resources

Trump’s explanation is not all about war pride or nostalgia. He’s connecting where Bagram is with increasing competition from China. As Trump tells it, “One of the reasons we want the base is — as you know — it’s an hour away from where China makes its nuclear weapons.” Experts note that China’s nuclear plants are considerably further away, but the story highlights the base’s perceived strategic significance.

There is more to it. Sources close to internal deliberations informed CNN that Trump’s group views Bagram as a possible base for counterterrorism missions, Chinese monitoring, access to Afghanistan’s rare earth minerals, and even a diplomatic embassy. All of these, however, would need a restored US military presence—something the Taliban is resisting tooth and nail.

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Taliban’s Response: Rejection, Negotiation, and Sovereignty

The Taliban isn’t beating around the bush. The group’s spokesman, Zabihullah Mujahid, informed their official media that Bagram is in the control of the Taliban, not China, and that “Chinese troops are not here, nor do we have any such agreement with any nation.” The message is unmistakable: The sovereignty of Afghanistan is not to be bargained with when it comes to foreign military bases.

But the Taliban left the door ajar for talks. Zakir Jalaly, an Afghan foreign ministry spokesman, wrote on social media that while Washington’s military presence is out of the question, Afghanistan stands prepared to develop political and economic relations with Washington based on “mutual respect and shared interests.” He even referred to Trump as “a good businessman and negotiator, more than a politician,” suggesting the possibility of pragmatic engagement.

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The US Withdrawal Legacy: Equipment, Diplomacy, and Humanitarian Aid

The 2021 withdrawal didn’t just leave behind empty buildings—it left billions of dollars’ worth of US military equipment now in Taliban hands. Trump has repeatedly demanded their return, tying future humanitarian aid to the recovery of these assets. According to Trump, “If we’re going to pay billions of dollars a year, tell them we’re not going to give them the money unless they give back our military equipment.”

The Taliban, for its part, considers the equipment “spoils of war” and insists it will use it to defend Afghanistan. Mujahid has warned that any attempt to reclaim the gear would be met with resistance and that Afghanistan would expect substantial war reparations for two decades of conflict.

While this is going on, the US continues to channel billions in humanitarian assistance to Afghanistan, primarily via the UN and screened NGOs, and imposes sanctions and does not extend recognition to the Taliban regime. The Taliban retorts that it has never received direct US monetary aid and blames Washington for freezing Afghan funds.

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The Broader Geopolitical Chessboard: US Leverage, Taliban Isolation, and Regional Dynamics

Trump’s advisors are convinced that the US has leverage with the Taliban because, despite Afghanistan’s desperate need for external assistance, it is geopolitically isolated and only Moscow recognizes the Taliban government. The Taliban is economically strained and cannot find foreigners willing to give them a loan. US envoy meetings with senior Taliban officials have addressed negotiations over hostages and the release of American detainees, but military presence is a red line.

The US exit was informed by the 2020 Doha Agreement, which called for a complete withdrawal of American forces. There was no option to leave behind Bagram or any other facility. The withdrawal was finalized by the Biden administration, and ever since, the US has kept its role limited to humanitarian assistance and diplomacy.

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The Uncertain Road Ahead: Negotiations, Recognition, and the Future of US-Afghan Relations

So, what lies ahead for Bagram and US-Afghan relations? The Taliban insists no foreign troops will be back, but indicates a willingness to talk on other issues. The US, however, under Trump, is demanding strategic assets and the return of military gear, exerting leverage through aid and diplomatic contact.

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The future of Bagram Airfield is more than a footnote in military history—it’s a representation of the changed power balance in Central Asia, the incomplete work of twenty years of war, and the tangled waltz between sovereignty, strategy, and survival. As talks keep going on, the world waits to see if Bagram will again be a flashpoint—or a bridge—between former foes.